Five College Football Season Win Total Best Bets

Sean Pendergast
August 28, 2018 - 1:26 pm
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With all due respect to every school who played a game this past weekend, college football season REALLY starts this coming weekend. There are a few games Thursday night, but things get started in earnest on Saturday, which means GAMBLING gets started in earnest on Saturday.

 

Understanding full well that many of you don’t have the iron stomach that I do for game to game (hell, half to half) wagering, and that maybe the long play of a full season suits your sensibilities better, how about some season win total bets? So, for those of you who prefer mutual funds to day trading, here are five season win total bets that I will be placing my hard-earned Entercom paycheck on:

 

Tulane OVER 5.5 (+115)

When I look at teams, other than schedule, the first thing I look at is how competitive they were last year, i.e. point differential. Willie Fritz’s Green Wave was 5-7, but they lost four of those games by less than a touchdown. Fritz is heading into his third year, the year where college coaches really stamp their program, and they return a bunch of experience on the offensive line, something crucial to Fritz’s style of offense. Bowl eligibility gets you a win here. 

 

Kansas UNDER 2.5 (-105)

Kansas was 1-11 last season, so there’s really nowhere to go but up (unless they go 0-12, which is a possibility). The Jayhawks’ one win was against an FCS school that went 3-8, and in the Big XII, the games that would seem remotely winnable for Kansas became much harder with Baylor likely to take a big jump in Year 2 under Matt Rhule and with Iowa State’s continued improvement under Matt Campbell. 

 

TCU OVER 8 (+105)

Gary Patterson is one of the more consistent head coaches in all of college football. The Horned Frogs lose quarterback Kenny Hill, but that’s probably not such a bad thing, as Hill tended to shrivel in key moments. TCU will always be capable on defense under Patterson. The Ohio State game in Week 3 is obviously daunting, but it’s in Arlington and Urban Meyer will be back in Columbus. Key games in going over 8 — Oklahoma, Iowa State, Kansas State, and Oklahoma State — are all at home. You lose if they go 7-5, and this is not a 7-5 schedule, 

 

Washington UNDER 10 (+130)

I liked this one better at 10.5 (obviously), and if you can find it at 10.5, I’d go UNDER and disregard the juice. An out of conference opener against Auburn in SEC country is supplemented by a nine-game Pac-12 that includes road games to Utah, UCLA, Oregon, and the Apple Cup game at Washington State. In other words, if the Huskies lose to Auburn, they’d have to run the table for you to lose your bet. Makes it a very a hedge-able wager if Week1 breaks the right way. 

 

Louisville UNDER 7 (-135)

Here is the “karma is a bitch” UNDER play. If you’ve been waiting for a comeuppance for noted philanderer and relative-hirer (three Louisville assistants are related to him) Bobby Petrino, this is your year! He won eight games last season WITH Lamar Jackson. Now, he opens the season against Alabama, travels to Clemson, and somehow has to survive the rest of the ACC along with in-state rivalry games with Western Kentucky and Kentucky. Karma is a bitch. 

 

Sean Pendergast can be heard on “The Triple Threat” from 2-6pm weekdays, and follow him on Twitter at @SeanTPendergast.